← GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.9% | 10 | 4-4-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 61.2% | +5.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.9% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 8 | 5-1-2 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 64.0% | +6.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.2% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 33.4% | -8.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 38.4% | -7.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.6% | +8.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 71.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Fractal | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.5% | -23.2 |
| Fire Exia | 2.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Fire Suited | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Wind Allies | 2.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.1% | -3.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -2.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Guo Jia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 11 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Beseech the Winds, Resolute Stand, Scout the Land. Losers more often ran: Veiling Breeze, Forest Cake.
Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Spellward Scepter | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Reclaim | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |